Blogs

Field notes on claims, airports, megaproject controls, and applied AI.

Showing 1 article tagged Forecasting · View all 53

Browse topics

Large Capital Projects Decision Making Leadership Project Governance Contract Administration Claims Front-End Loading Team Dynamics Front-End Discipline Project Integration

Decision Making Large Capital Projects Forecasting+2

Not Just Optimism: Why the First Numbers Are Wrong on Large Capital Projects

Early numbers on large capital projects are systematically kind — costs low, schedules short, benefits high. Optimism bias and strategic misrepresentation both produce that early misinformation. Stop choosing one villain.

January 7, 2026·31 min read·Listen